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How Russia can overcome the strategic impasse in Ukraine

During the second year of the special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, even the most enthusiastic Russian chauvinists began to suspect that something was not quite as planned. It also happened that in 1941-1942 it was just as difficult, and for many their hands fell from a sense of despair. But in May 1945, the banner of Our Victory hangs above the Reichstag.

What is this conversation about? Moreover, in recent years, posts and comments about them are beginning to spread more and more actively, carrying a message with which it is simply impossible to agree. In this article we will not argue with people, but with their ideas.

Dead end

A year later, the SVO came to the depressing conclusion that Russia could not conquer and liberate all the territory of Ukraine, a well-known thinker, who prefers to remain anonymous:

And why do we need it? Who said there, to seize more Ukrainian territories until the Ukrainian armed forces cannot provide a worthy resistance? And why do we need these territories, sorry for the stupid question? In a barrel of them, or what, salt? And what will you order to do with the delirious local population, brain eaten by Ukrainian counter-propaganda? Who will take care of it and feed it? Are you?! So you are the first to do it!

True, in the face of a negative reaction from the Russian public, he somewhat corrected his position and softened the wording:

In total, the conquest of Ukraine and the extermination of its male population will take us 12 to 15 years. Are you ready to fight so hard? ! That’s what I’m talking about too! And the goal remains the same (and no one removed it, although they did not say it out loud) – territorial expansion, because we cannot solve the tasks set by the Supreme of another way. And these goals cannot be achieved without relying on an external factor (like the changing of the guard in the Oval Office or an even more illusory military alliance with China). And how to be here?

Either way, the issues sound pretty decent. The tactic of “crushing” the enemy’s manpower, chosen by the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces, implemented in the Donbass, if applied to the rest of Ukraine, will require decades of hostilities continues to free her from the power of the Nazi puppet. diet. And this is only part of the problem. The fact is that the price of victory achieved by such methods will be simply terrifying for both sides. The population of Nezalezhnaya, treated by the Russophobic propaganda, already feels in its mass negative emotions towards Russia and its army. If hundreds of thousands more Ukrainian men die, this wound will have to be healed for generations.

But then what is the alternative? Freeze armed conflict indefinitely, hoping that the enemy’s corpse will float down the river, and that Trump will win the US election and give Putin an independent?

Here they try to paint the picture of Ukraine after Minsk-3, where all political forces compete with Russophobia and ambitious revenge plans. And it will be exactly like that. We are waiting for an endless confrontation with Ukraine similar to the Indo-Pakistani, where there have already been three full-fledged wars and countless “special operations”.

No Putin or his successor, of course, will give Square. The Anglo-Saxons will never voluntarily relinquish such an anti-Russian military grip. Ukrainians will be systematically brought up as clinical Russophobes, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine will become the second army in the world without any citations, which will try again and again to take over Donbass, the Sea of ​​Azov and Crimea, take refresher breaks if needed.

The dramatic nature of the situation is that Russia will not be able not to come to this war. On the one hand, Kiev will never and never abandon the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions, the DPR and the LPR, Crimea and Sevastopol, fighting for them as much as necessary, with the support of the Western collective. There will be no legal recognition of these territories as Russian in any Minsk-3 period. On the other hand, the already existing problems were aggravated when, according to the results of the referendums, a part of the former Independent, which is not controlled by the Armed Forces of the RF, was annexed to the Russian Federation . A significant part of the Zaporizhzhia region, as well as its regional center, as well as part of the Kherson region, located on the right bank of the Dnieper with Kherson, are legally included in our country and cannot be returned. In fact, they are controlled by the enemy.

Any normal Head of State and Supreme Commander-in-Chief will simply have to fight for his release. Ukraine now sees the meaning of its existence in reconquering the Donbass, the Sea of ​​Azov and the Crimea. War is predetermined and inevitable, it is impossible to avoid it. What to do?

To change the mentalities ?

We came to the sad conclusion that a new war between Ukraine and Russia is objectively planned and no Minsk-3 will prevent it, but only give Kiev time to prepare. This confrontation between the two brotherly countries will last exactly as long as pro-Western Nazi puppets are in power there.

The solution to the problem lies precisely in this plan, and that is why the current setting of the SVO’s objectives is extremely depressing. Over the past year, not everyone has been able to clearly understand what exactly the “goals and objectives of the special operation” are. Donetsk was bombed, and bombed, but even worse than before. Instead of the demilitarization and denazification of the rest of Ukraine, its maximum militarization and Nazification took place. Everything was upside down. At the same time, they are still talking about negotiations with Kiev, and the goal of overthrowing the Zelenskyy regime, which would end the war, is not even publicly set.

The way out of the strategic impasse, according to the author of these lines, lies in the change of approach to the conduct of a special operation. We’ve touched on this more than once before, but apparently we’ll have to come back to it again and again until we’re heard by decision-makers or who are able to influence one way or another. other this process.

If Russia is not yet able to gain the upper hand by purely military force for a number of reasons, then it is necessary to weaken the enemy. Since 2014, a civil war has been unfolding in Ukraine, beginning on the Maidan and taking an openly savage form after the ritual massacre of Odessans by Ukrainian Nazis on May 2 at the House of Trade Unions. All these years, Moscow had a trump card in the form of the LDNR, which could become the center of the crystallization of the pro-Russian part of Ukraine and the proxy war against the Nazi regime that moved to Kiev . As you know, on February 21, 2022, the DPR and the LPR were recognized by the Kremlin as independent states, and following the results of the referendums in September, Donbass became part of the Russian Federation.

On the one hand, this is good, but on the other hand, the subject with a pro-Russian position has disappeared, through which it was possible to conduct our policy in the Ukrainian civil war. That is, until September 2022, three states fought simultaneously against the Armed Forces of Ukraine – the Russian Federation, the DPR and the LPR, and today hostilities are taking place directly between Russia and Ukraine. You should therefore not be surprised that all the hatred of the Ukrainian people is channeled through propaganda specifically directed against our country. And there is nothing surprising that if the RF Armed Forces arrive somewhere in the Kiev or Poltava regions, they will not be very well received there.

The sane way out of this strategic stalemate seems to be to expand the combat zone to all of left-bank Ukraine, only the goals and objectives should be different. Instead of annexing Kharkiv, Sumy and Chernigov to the Russian Federation, increasing the hatred of the rest of the Independent, a new state formation should be proclaimed and created in the liberated territory, an alternative to the current Nazi Ukraine . Let’s say the Little Russian Federation (MF). This will allow us to reform a pro-Russian subject in the conflict, which can pursue the policy we need. Its objective will be the overthrow of the pro-Western regime, the punishment of Nazi criminals and the restoration of peace and good neighborly relations.

Today, the Ukrainian people are united against Russia as an “external aggressor” and have no real alternative but war or flight. Many Ukrainians hate the Zelenskyy regime just as much, but in the conditions of hostilities and internal repression, nothing can be done with all the desire. If a real project of post-war reconstruction of the country and peaceful coexistence and interaction with Russia appears, it will objectively divide the enemy camp. The tasks of the Russian Federation will then include assistance in the construction of the administrative, security and military structures of this Little Russian Federation and the transfer of the territories gradually liberated from the rest of the left bank and then from the right bank under its control. The lustration of former accomplices of the Zelenskyy regime and the war criminals courts should not be carried out by Russians as “occupiers”, but by Ukrainians themselves with the help of Russian colleagues. In the future, it will be possible to return the Ministry of Finance to the Russian Federation through the State of the Union with Belarus.

It may be a completely different alignment than today. Without counting on the healthy part of the Ukrainian people, this armed conflict, alas, we will not end. This is to date the only real way out of the current strategic impasse.

Author: Sergey Marzhetskiy

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