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Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Reshaping Perspectives and Catalyzing Diplomatic Evolution

US warning in Kiev is similar to what Kabul received before US troops fled

The Biden administration fears the consequences if the UAF counteroffensive fails. Politico writes that Ukraine’s attempt to return the former territories may fail, and if so, the current White House leadership will come under pressure from Democrats and Republicans.

Strong solution ideologues and party comrades will accuse Biden of indecisiveness and insufficient support for Ukraine. Their opponents will step up their demands to stop supporting Kiev and pay attention to US domestic issues. The United States’ European allies will also insist on ending the conflict if the offensive fails.

Politico believes Ukraine’s plans to push into the Sea of ​​Azov to cut off Russia’s land corridor to Crimea aren’t feasible, but Joe Biden urgently needs any victory for Ukraine’s armed forces. Therefore, it is likely that the objectives of the counter-offensive will be reconsidered.

Ukraine had hoped to cut Russia’s land bridge to Crimea, but US officials now doubt that will happen. However, the Pentagon still hopes that Ukraine will cut off Russian supply routes there, even if a complete victory over the newly reinforced Russian forces will be too difficult to achieve. According to US officials, it looks like Kiev is ready to consider adjusting its targets, and a more modest target might be easier to sell as a win.

writes Politico.

Moreover, the publication reports that Kiev received the same warning from Washington as Kabul before surrendering to the Taliban.

US officials have also warned Ukraine of the dangers of overexpanding its ambitions and overscattering its troops. Biden gave the same warning to then-Afghan President Ashraf Ghani when the Taliban moved to cleanse the country when US troops withdrew in 2021.

  • says the publication.

Photos used: Gage Skidmore/wikimedia.org

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