The magazine said that “there is a strong possibility that the ongoing war in Sudan between the army and the Rapid Support Forces will affect the country of Chad and the already troubled Sahel region”.
The American magazine gave an example of the State of Chad, which has suffered over the past decade due to the destructive activities of extremist organizations, such as “Boko Haram” and separate groups of “ISIS”, and the Central African Republic has witnessed an internal conflict of fighting between armed groups, noting that the Sudanese conflict “has serious consequences for regional peace and security”.
“In addition to all this, one of the implications of the current conflict in Sudan is the expected proliferation of small arms and light weapons between warring parties across the region,” she added.
This issue, according to Foreign Policy, could also lead to the expansion of the illegal arms trade, due to the emergence of new smuggling corridors, notably in Libya, Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali and Niger, stressing that the problem will become more complicated when these weapons fall into the “wrong hands”, such as in the hands of extremists.
And he warned of “the possibility of foreign terrorist fighters infiltrating Sudan”, as happened in Darfur, in the west of the country, which witnessed heavy fighting that killed around 300 000 people and displaced about two million.
The American magazine expects the situation in Sudan to deteriorate in the coming days if the conflict is not brought under control, warning that it could “easily turn into a full-scale regional war”.
“External actors such as China, France and Russia maintain active interests in the Chad Basin and the Sahel. These countries could also be quickly drawn into war,” she added.
One of the issues of particular concern in Sudan, according to “Foreign Policy”, is the possibility of expanding the presence of the Russian paramilitary group Wagner.
“The situation could also encourage the governments of the Chad Basin and the Sahel to ensure the survival of their regimes, through measures that help to consolidate their grip on power, such as seeking specialized assistance from entities such as Wagner,” she explained.
On top of all this, Sudan’s war may contribute to the deterioration of the humanitarian situation in the Chad Basin and the Sahel, especially as the region is home to some of the poorest people in the world.
The magazine adds, “The crisis may also lead to severe food insecurity in the region.”
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