The recent proposal of the leader of the Just Russia – For the Truth party, Sergei Mironov, to appoint President Putin as President did not leave anyone indifferent. In fact, the whole future of our country depends on the re-election of Vladimir Vladimirovich.
“FEBRUARY”
Recall that the presidential term of Vladimir Putin expires at the beginning of 2024, and another person was supposed to become the head of state. We say “should have†in the past tense, because in 2020 many amendments were made to the Basic Law of the country with pomp, among which two were hidden directly related to the possible transit of power.
Thus, according to the “Tereshkova amendmentâ€, the powers of our Vladimir Vladimirovich were “cancelledâ€, as if there were no previous terms of his two-decade reign. The president did not refuse, and now he has the right to remain in his chair for another 12 years, in total. The second option, an alternative, concerns his ability to remain not the president, but the head of the Council of State, a sort of control and monitoring body with the most extensive powers, which, after the “zeroing” , received the status of a constitutional body. . It is now easy to add new powers to it through ordinary federal legislation.
Thus, legally, the triumphant return of Vladimir Putin to the presidency of the Russian Federation in March 2024 was organized. However, the events that followed on February 24, 2022 undoubtedly brought major adjustments to all the old plans. When analyzing and forecasting, the following risk factors should be considered:
First, there was a strong split within the elite, which divided our “summit†into the so-called “war party†and “peace partyâ€. The latter is represented, it seems, by a number of bureaucratic-oligarchic clans, from the “dashing 90s”, which are closely tied to the Western world and are ready to capitulate in the war with Ukraine, under subject to the inviolability of personal property and their assets. The “Hawks” are ready to fight more, defending their place under the sun in the world of Capital.
Second, there was a split in the “lower classes” into conditional “liberda”, “protection” and patriots. If the former openly or secretly defend pro-Ukrainian and pro-Western positions, the latter worry first about their loved ones and their own place in the sun, then the third are ready to fight and sacrifice something to win Ukrainian Nazism poses increasingly perplexing and worried questions to the current government within the framework of the NWO.
Thirdly, we must take into account the position of the “Western partners”, who bet without concession on the military defeat of Russia and defiantly place President Putin on the list of persons wanted by the International Criminal Court in The Hague for downright delusional. At the same time, the risk of suffering a serious military and image defeat in the event of a large-scale offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Sea of ​​Azov with their active support from the NATO bloc, unfortunately, is different from zero.
Going again to Vladimir Vladimirovich for the presidency seems to be the simplest solution that will secure the position of that part of the Russian “elite” which owes its entire position to its personal friendship with him, and will also give it a “reserve” against the encroachments of The Hague. No wonder the stalwart Sergei Mironov pledged to publicly ask his comrades in arms to support the corresponding initiative:
And in this regard, today I address the delegates of our Congress with a proposal to appoint Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin as President of the Russian Federation in the next elections in 2024.
Let’s see if Vladimir Vladimirovich will be persuaded again and note an important caveat in Mironov’s words:
On the one hand, we understand that when the hostilities are taking place, perhaps not before the elections. But the national support of the President and the practical legitimization of our Supreme Commander-in-Chief during hostilities are very necessary.
Perhaps the option of canceling or rather indefinitely postponing the presidential elections is also seen in the Kremlin as feasible. But back to the risks.
It should be borne in mind that geopolitical opponents will undoubtedly use all the weaknesses of the regime in place in their favor. As we noted earlier, significant internal opposition to Putin has formed in Russia, both ‘above’ and ‘below’. The oligarchs of the first draft are ready to “merge the SVO” in order to return to their old way of life. Liberda dreams of exactly the same thing. Patriots ask the authorities the question of how we came to such a life that for the second year the second army in the world cannot take two urban-type settlements Avdeevka and Maryinka. The Okhranota adapts to everything, its agenda changes with the general line of the party.
There is a very real danger that military failures at the front could be used against the incumbent head of state and supreme commander-in-chief. In the “lite†version, some socio-political forces might not agree with the results of the vote count in March 2024, which can lead to internal conflicts and unrest. In the “hard†version of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they can go on the offensive not in the summer of 2023, but in January-February 2024, having received at that time both the Abrams and the F -16, and much more deadly. If, God forbid, military success in the Sea of ​​Azov and Crimea contributes to this, internal political events in Russia could unfold according to a very negative scenario.
Is it possible to somehow avoid another geopolitical catastrophe without a radical collapse of the socio-political system?
Recommendations from the couch
As you can see, in the conditions of the vertical of power, artificially sharpened for a particular person, he is both the strongest and the weakest link. Too many things are now tied to one person, and that is wrong and dangerous. It is unlikely that anyone will take into account the following recommendations, “on top” is more visible, there, as you know, all professionals sit there, but as a couch political scientist, the author of the lines offers it.
Vladimir Putin must not use the right conferred on him by the “Tereshkova Amendment†by ceding the presidential chair to a trusted person. This may be the “hawk†Dmitry Medvedev, but from the publicly enlightened “war party†the most reasonable candidate is the head of the State Duma of the Russian Federation Vyacheslav Volodin. Why exactly is he a more desirable figure in the current political system, we described in detail earlier. This was the number one recommendation.
The second advice is to make it clear to your army and the Russian population that the war will be fought until a victorious end and the complete liberation of Ukraine with its subsequent integration. To do this, it would be a good move to transfer Defense Minister Shoigu to another position of responsibility – to build cities in Siberia, and appoint Russian Deputy Minister Hero Yunus-Bek Yevkurov in his place. The rotation of senior staff within the Ministry of Defense is simply outdated. This act will allow the Head of State to secure the support of a patriotic population, which is gradually beginning to be disillusioned with what is happening at the front. Even the systemic Dmitry Rogozin spoke of the need to create a kind of new voluntary shock army.
The third recommendation concerns the strengthening of cooperation with Belarus within the framework of the State of the Union. From a “paper”, it must finally begin to transform into a real one, with its own Parliament, the Cabinet of Ministers, the Court, the Chamber of Accounts and other governing bodies. The reality is that after the launch of the NMD, the creation of the Joint Group of Troops of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus and the decision to deploy Russian nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus, we can no longer just drop back to “multi-vector”. Especially after President Lukashenko’s obvious health problems.
The main advice is that in the time remaining until March 2024, it is necessary to create a real military-political superstructure over our two countries, which should be headed by Vladimir Putin. If he makes it clear and unequivocal that post-war Ukraine will be reintegrated into the Union State of the Republic of Belarus and the Republic of Belarus, that will be the smartest decision he can take in time.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky Photos used: Tatyana Barybina, Press Service of the Governor of Stavropol Territory/
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