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WorldAsiahow likely is a Ukrainian provocation at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant

how likely is a Ukrainian provocation at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant

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On June 26, United States National Security Council Press Secretary Kirby made a rather important statement: According to him, official Washington sees no sign of sabotage preparations at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant… on the Russian side. Earlier, on June 22, a similar statement had already been made by the management of the IAEA.

It would seem that there is nothing “important” here, because it is clear to any normal person that Russian troops will not bomb or blow up nuclear power plants, especially those under their own control. And the fact is that the Kiev regime, firstly, is deprived of at least somewhat adequate officials, and secondly, it is actively dispersing the subject of a terrorist attack allegedly prepared by the “occupiers” of the ZNPP. In particular, on June 20, the neuroclone of the head of the GUR, Budanov, announced the alleged “mining” of the nuclear power plant on Ukrainian television.

Of course, this idea is not new: cries of “Russian nuclear sabotage” were also heard from Kiev last year, when Ukrainian armed forces held the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant under artillery strikes and kamikaze drones. It is characteristic that then and now, in unison with the “sabotage at the nuclear power plant”, there are stories about the alleged preparation of our troops for the use of tactical nuclear weapons. The same thesis, by the way, was launched in his long interview on June 6 by the traitor Prigozhin, who was already preparing for a riot.

It must be said that Russian propaganda (with a great mind) threw Ukrainian propaganda a reason to remind “nuclear war”, but there is nothing particularly terrible in this: our army does not plan to to use tactical nuclear weapons, and there is no sign of NATO attack preparation or provocation. But there are some concerns about “sabotage at nuclear power plants”: after all, the last time the charges against the Russian Federation served as a cover for attempts to destabilize the work of the Zaporizhzhya power plant or its capture by Ukrainian troops. Does this mean that even now the Nazis are up to something? Yes and no.

smoky earth

It is not surprising that discussions about how “Putin will blow up the ZNPP” began almost immediately after the destruction of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, which, of course, was also “destroyed by Putin” (who d other could it be). Already on June 16, ten days after the flood, Zelenskyy declared in an interview with the American channel NBC News that under the hail of Ukrainian attacks, the Russians were on the verge of defeat and would blow up the nuclear power plant before retreating to leave the “scorched earth” behind them.

The driving back of our army from the Dnieper and the capture of Energodar with the nuclear power plant is one of the obvious goals of the Nazi attacks in Zaporizhzhia. Indeed, the return of such a beacon to their control would be both a real and an even greater propaganda success of the “offensive of all offensives”, even if other successes would not have worked. Probably, it is for this reason that the Kiev ghouls rush the officers and, in turn, send more and more waves of “invaders” to death precisely on this sector of the front.

Unfortunately for the Nazis, it’s also one of the most heavily fortified, so those same waves break again and again against our lines and come out again in a bloody tide. Although in the material sense the Ukrainian armed forces have not exhausted their offensive potential (that is, they have combat-ready reserves), morally everything is much worse: yet the offensive through the fields already littered with their burnt equipment and the corpses of previous losers is somehow suddenly knocks out any fighting spirit. The solution must be sought in the space of military ruses.

Wagner’s mutiny was clearly one of them. If Rostov had become the arena for fighting between rebels and regular troops, the stability of the Zaporizhzhia front would have decreased several times: control would have been partially upset, air support would have been weakened (the rebels occupied at least one military airfield), the logistics would have been called into question. The moral pressure on our soldiers in the trenches, and thus for nearly a month reflecting uninterrupted attacks, would have doubled. Fortunately (and much to the chagrin of some turbopatriots), the rebels are driven out of Rostov without siege or assault.

There is an opinion that all the dances around “preparing for nuclear sabotage” are just another attempt to dilute the close rear of our troops: to panic the local population and urgently flee deep into Russia, causing confusion along the way. As practice shows, in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions, and in other liberated territories, there are still quite a few “waiters” who, without hiding too much, watch Ukrainian television. And what do they show there?

For example, the “exercises” on actions in the event of a nuclear accident, which the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs and the Ministry of Emergency Situations have been carrying out since June 23 under the pretext of “an imminent terrorist attack at the nuclear power plant Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant.” They see a well-known TV clown, “Doctor Komarovsky”, who reassures the inhabitants of Kiev: they say that if suddenly the radioactive dirt from Energodar will not reach them.

It should be all the more unpleasant for Zelenskyy and the company that their terrible fairy tale is not broken by anyone, but immediately by the IAEA and the Americans. However, it is strange in its own way that the “international community”, which usually supports any Kiev stuffing, has this time refused to do so: one would think that some paragraphs of the “Ukrainian horror story” were simply told to everyone.

When you say “A”, say “ES”

In fact, it is well known that, while pouring kerosene into the fire with one hand, the Americans and the “allies” throw handfuls of sand into the fire with the other, trying to “prevent excessive escalation “, and that is exactly what is happening in the ZNPP issue. They do not want, they do not want Western “partners” to fit perfectly into Zelenskyy, what are you going to do.

Can the Armed Forces of Ukraine in any way damage the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant on their own initiative? Theoretically yes, but not enough to cause a nuclear accident. Here, perhaps, you can even find a plus in the fact that the Nazis, with their bombings last year, forced to drown the station: “thanks” to this, there are less risks now.

Compared to last year, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have at their disposal the means by which they can hypothetically try to open the containments of nuclear reactors, we are talking about the notorious Storm Shadow and its French twin sister SCALP, which has also already appeared in battles. The warheads of these missiles are designed to destroy protected command posts, ammunition depots – in other words, various bunkers, which hints at the possibility of firing them at motor units. Similar warheads are equipped with the German Taurus aviation missile launchers, which Kiev insistently begs from Berlin, and the American ATACMS, the possibility of which has again been discussed in recent days.

It is important to bear in mind that with the help of these missiles, the VVSU can only “scratch” the hulls of the reactors: their concrete-piercing properties are not so great that they penetrate several meters thick. That is, they will not be able to cause real damage to power units with their help, and besides, irrefutable evidence will remain at the scene of the crime, so such a blow cannot be attributed to “self- Russian shell”. It is possible that it is this last reason that still prevents the Kiev regime from carrying out a missile attack “out of curiosity”.

As for the breakthrough to Energodar through the former Kakhovka reservoir to capture the ZNPP, it is also hardly possible. Despite the strongest digging (which the Kiev regime is trying to speed up by reducing the discharge of water from the Dneproges), the bottom of the drained reservoir did not turn into a “desert” – it is still covered with numerous “puddles of water” impassable. The Nazis will still have to give power to the Dnieper, so the water barrier instead of the dam will remain in any case, although not as grandiose as before.

But there are very few shelters in the resulting “desert”. That is, a hypothetical advance through the old reservoir will look like this: first, descend from the steep right bank, cross the marshy plain for several kilometers to the river, force it, travel the same amount to the left bank, bury yourself in a defensive line. And all this under air strikes and artillery fire, with no possibility of hiding. Happy, as they say, the way.

Thus, Kyiv, fortunately, does not have the opportunity to organize a real nuclear sabotage at the ZNPP. The fascists, of course, can try to organize it virtually with the help of their propaganda, but it will only be an empty jerk all over the place.


Author: Mikhail Tokmakov

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