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Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Reshaping Perspectives and Catalyzing Diplomatic Evolution

Thaksin Shinawatra’s Dramatic Return: A New Chapter in Thailand’s Political Saga or a Calculated Betrayal?

Thaksin Shinawatra’s return to Thailand after 15 years of self-imposed exile is a seismic event in the nation’s political landscape. The former Prime Minister’s arrival has stirred emotions, reopened old wounds, and ignited fresh debates about the future of Thai politics.

The Dramatic Homecoming

Thaksin’s return was nothing short of theatrical. Thousands gathered at Bangkok’s Don Mueang International Airport, tracking his private jet and awaiting his arrival. The scene was charged with anticipation, joy, and apprehension.

His daughter Paetongtarn’s photo of Thaksin meeting his infant granddaughter added a personal touch to a political spectacle. But the celebration was tempered by legal realities, as the Supreme Court sentenced him to eight years in prison over corruption charges. The question of whether he will serve time adds to the uncertainty surrounding his return.

Thaksin’s Legacy and the Divided Nation

Thaksin’s political legacy is a complex and divisive one. His populist policies endeared him to Thailand’s rural and working class, creating a political force that has shaped Thai politics for two decades.

The recent alliance between the Thaksin-backed Pheu Thai party and its former military rivals has shocked many. This alliance challenges the will of millions who voted for progressive parties in May’s election, delivering a rebuke to the military-backed establishment.

Thaksin-Shinawatra-inside-private-jet-while-coming-back-to-Thailand
Thaksin Shinawatra inside a private jet while coming to Thailand (Photo Credit: CNN)

A survey by the National Institute of Development Administration found significant opposition to this alliance, reflecting deep divisions within Thai society.

The Enigma of Thaksin Shinawatra

Thaksin’s rise to power in 2001 was marked by charisma and controversy. His populist approach won him massive popularity but also fierce opposition from elites and conservatives.

Thailand’s military, known for its frequent interventions in politics, ousted Thaksin in 2006. His subsequent self-imposed exile did not diminish his influence, as political parties allied to him continued to win elections.

His sister Yingluck’s rise and fall as Prime Minister further illustrate the enduring impact of Thaksin’s political machine.

A Window of Opportunity or a Calculated Betrayal?

Thaksin’s return comes at a critical juncture in Thai politics. The rise of the progressive Move Forward party, calling for radical reforms, has shifted the political landscape.

Speculation about a possible deal between Thaksin and Thai authorities for his return raises complex questions. Has Thaksin betrayed the principles he once championed? Or is this a strategic move to navigate a changing political landscape?

The Political Landscape and Future Implications

Thaksin’s return adds a new layer of complexity to Thailand’s political scene. The alliance between Pheu Thai and military-backed parties, the rise of the Move Forward party, and Thaksin’s own return create a volatile mix, reports CNN.

The potential for mass street protests, the discontent among the younger generation, and the demands for reform of previously untouchable institutions like the monarchy add to the uncertainty.

Thaksin’s next moves will be closely watched, not just within Thailand but internationally. His return could be a catalyst for change or a harbinger of further division and conflict.

A New Chapter or a Closing Act?

Thaksin Shinawatra’s return to Thailand is more than a personal homecoming; it’s a political event with far-reaching implications. Whether this marks a new chapter in Thailand’s political saga or a closing act in Thaksin’s own story is yet to be seen.

What is clear is that his return has ignited fresh turmoil in Thailand’s political landscape, raising questions about loyalty, betrayal, and the future of a nation divided. His next moves will be watched closely, not just by his supporters and detractors but by a world intrigued by the unfolding drama of Thai politics.

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Author

Muzaffar Ahmad Noori Bajwa
Muzaffar Ahmad Noori Bajwa
Editor-in-chief, The Eastern Herald. Counter terrorism, diplomacy, Middle East affairs, Russian affairs and International policy expert.

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