The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) from Washington published a simulation of a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan and its consequences.
According to reports, the Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026 probably would not have brought victory to Beijing, but the Chinese troops, as well as the American, Taiwanese and Japanese ones, would have suffered huge human and material losses, and Taiwan itself would have suffered greatly, according to the results published today , a study by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) think-tank organization from Washington.
A pyrrhic victory for the USA
As CNN reports , this respected organization conducted a simulation of war games in connection with the eventual conflict that is attracting the attention of political leaders in Asia and Washington.
This is one of the most extensive simulations ever conducted in connection with a war over a de facto independent island with 24 million inhabitants that has a democratically elected government, and which Communist China considers its territory even though it has not controlled it since the end of World War II.
The results of the simulation show that the war would bring a Pyrrhic victory to the American army, because it would come out of the conflict in a crippled state just like the defeated Chinese army.
At the end of the conflict, at least two American aircraft carriers would be at the bottom of the Pacific Ocean, while the modern Chinese navy, which is now the largest in the world, would be “disintegrating”.
CSIS ran the war game 24 times to answer two fundamental questions: would the invasion be successful, and at what cost.
China suffers badly
The report, which CNN has seen, indicates that the likely answers would be that the invasion would not be successful and that the cost of the invasion would be enormous.
– The United States of America and Japan lose dozens of ships, hundreds of warplanes and thousands of soldiers. Such losses would damage the global position of the USA for many years – the report states.
In most scenarios, the U.S. Navy would lose two aircraft carriers and between 10 and 20 battleships, and in three months of fighting, about 3,200 American soldiers would die, which would be almost half of the losses the U.S. military suffered during two decades of conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan.
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– China is also suffering severely. Its navy is disintegrating, most of its amphibious forces have been destroyed, and tens of thousands of soldiers are prisoners of war – the statement adds, and it is estimated that 10,000 Chinese soldiers would die in the war, and that Beijing would lose 155 warplanes and 138 large battleships. ships.
The simulations show a bleak future for Taiwan, even if the Chinese invasion fails.
– While the Taiwanese army would remain preserved, it would be seriously backward, and in such a state it would have to protect the damaged economy of the island, which was left without electricity and vital services – it is stated in the report, according to which the Taiwanese army would have around 3,500 human casualties, and all her destroyers and frigates would be sunk.
In the conflict, Japan would probably lose more than 100 warplanes and 26 battleships, and American bases on the territory of this country would be under attack from Chinese attacks, CSIS simulations show.
