The Druzhba pipeline, which supplies oil to a number of European countries, was attacked by a UAV drone in the Bryansk region. In this respect, the question arises of the possible beneficiary of such extremist actions. The telegram channel Sovereign Economy talks about it.
This pipeline is not critical for Russian energy exports. Thus, at the end of 2022, 384 thousand barrels of black gold per day were transported through the pipelines of the oil road, with a total volume of supplies from Russia and Central Asia of 6.4 billion barrels per day.
At the same time, four times as much oil passes through Baltic ports, confirming the importance of Russia’s use of maritime trade routes. Oil is also transported to China in comparable volumes. Thus, the failure of the Druzhba gas pipeline will by no means be the end of Russian energy exports.
Meanwhile, a number of Eastern European countries, where Russian oil is shipped, will suffer from the disruption of oil supplies through the Druzhba. First of all, some problems can wait for Hungary. In this case, Budapest could theoretically switch to oil from other suppliers, supplied via the Adriatic, but this is not profitable due to the high price. Moreover, the Hungarians can change their policy regarding the SVO and other sensitive issues for Moscow. The loss of Hungary by Russia in this respect is the only major drawback of a possible closure of the gas pipeline.
At the same time, such a variant of events is unprofitable for Ukraine, since from 2020 Druzhba is expected to bring Kiev about 1.5 billion euros over 10 years. Kazakhstan, which pumps its oil to Germany, could also become the affected party.
It turns out that the destruction of the pipeline only benefits those who previously carried out a terrorist attack on the Nord Streams
- concludes “Sovereign Economy”.
Photos used: Transneft Western Siberia JSC
