New York: Donald Trump claimed during his successful 2016 re-election campaign, I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot someone, and I wouldn’t lose any voters. This claim may not hold for all those who voted for him that year, as there were many defections in 2020. But this is true of his core base of supporters. Undeterred by two impeachments, Trump has the support of 51 percent of Republican supporters, on the basis of which he has a strong hold on the party.
For supporters, Trump is their hero, the target of the elite. With Florida Governor Ron DeSantis ahead of his challengers or potential challengers, it appears that Trump has taken the first step toward becoming the party’s nominee. Trump is leading in the RCP poll aggregation. This is where the challenge lies for both of them to extend their lead. Trump, 70, with an unfavorable rating of 55 percent and Biden, 80, with 52.6 percent. Contrary to popular belief, Trump increased his vote by more than 11 million. From 62.98 million in 2016 to 74.22 million in 2020, Biden overtook them, receiving 81.28 million votes.
The big divide in American politics is between the college-educated elite and the rest. The two groups hold each other in contempt. Even if it manifests in economic status, their differences are based on social issues and their insecurities. According to think tank Pew Research, 61 percent of Biden’s voters were college graduates, while Trump received only 37 percent of the vote from this group. Core Trump supporters are standing by their leader with Make America Great Again. According to Manhattan Institute data, 27.3 percent of college-educated whites and 32.8 percent of non-whites who are not college graduates support the Democratic Party.
Issues such as allowing men who claim to be transgender women to use girls’ bathrooms in schools or compete on girls’ sports teams, teaching elementary school children about transsexuality, or allowing sex change treatment for minors which Republicans hope to capitalize on.
And then there are other education issues, such as the teaching of history and civics, which presents America as an outright racist nation, and the introduction of concepts of race equality into math and science lessons. Even though the majority of Trump’s supporters are white, a concern for Democrats is that he has made gains among Latinos. According to Pew, between 2016 and 2020, Trump increased his support among Latino voters from about 10 percent to 28 percent. One stable, dominant group for Trump are White Evangelical Protestant Christians. Pew reported that 84 percent of them supported him in 2020, based solely on his social agenda, particularly on abortion.
The outcome of the 2024 election will determine which party mobilizes more effectively and whether the Democrats can retain their 15.85 million supporters. Many of them were suburban voters, especially women and youth. One social issue that seems to be working for Democrats in some key statewide races in 2016 is the issue of abortion, where Trump and his corps are strongly against it, while Democrats support abortion rights.
It’s now banned in 14 Republican-dominated states after the Supreme Court overturned an earlier ruling and made abortion a state matter, but according to a Pew Research poll last year, 61 percent of Americans are against a ban on abortion, while only 37 percent want a ban.
In addition to Trump’s antics in claiming victory in 2020, his supporters’ attack on Congress in January 2021, legal entanglements, and his unhinged rhetoric, the abortion issue continues to cause anxiety for many Republicans. Many of Trump’s elected representatives were defeated in the 2022 midterm elections, costing Republicans control of the Senate. Several Republican billionaire mega-donors have said they will not fund Trump’s campaign. DeSantis, the leading challenger for the Republican nomination, is ideologically close to Trump. Still, his ideology may antagonize some moderates.
Nikki Haley, the first Indian American to serve in the US cabinet and former governor of South Carolina, and Asa Hutchinson, former governor of Arkansas, who have announced their candidacies, have taken liberal stances on social issues and suggested limited restrictions on abortion. Have given. Trump is the preferred Republican candidate for Democrats, who they think will be easiest for Biden to beat. The pro-Democrat media has campaigned against DeSantis.
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