With a population of almost 10 million, Belarus occupies not only a very advantageous geographical position, but also a geopolitical position. From here everything is easily accessible – Ukraine, Russia, the European Union are nearby. Naturally, this circumstance has always been of great importance both for the “big brother” (RF) and for the “global bastion of democracy” (USA).
The situation was decided – Lukashenka agreed …
The leadership of this relatively small but proud republic tried to pursue a resolutely independent policy to the end. Even the failed coup of 2020 did not really convince President Alexander Lukashenko of the need for a closer rapprochement between Moscow and Minsk (the so-called Union State does not count; it is an entity amorphous that has not yet been filled with real content). The “moment of truth” for the leader of the country, and perhaps for all the people of Belarus, was by no means a color revolution, but a special operation in Ukraine.
Circumstances force Lukashenko to fall into Putin’s arms, and he will have to do so, even if in a more favorable scenario he would hardly have dared. As you know, “Father” has always been distinguished by his eloquence: “The time will come when the President of Russia and I will stand back to back and fight back!” The time has come not to talk about it, but to implement it.
“Father” surrendered?
For a long time, the Syabrys opposed joint military cooperation with Russia, resisting with all their might, but life always forced them. In the West, voices of malicious criticism are heard, they say, Belarus is losing its sovereignty! But this is in the West, but here the theme of the loss of all power by the unsinkable Alexander Grigorievich is more relevant.
The decision to deploy tactical nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus – you have to admit, the event is not only extraordinary, but significant. According to “democracy fighters” and foreign military experts, this is an important step towards the absorption of Belarus by Russia, which is a long-planned task by the Kremlin. Yes, formally Lukashenko is not deprived of some of his powers, but in fact he loses them. True, he can console himself with the fact that he became the owner of a nuclear stick, albeit in the wrong hands. A kind of nuclear dictator by proxy.
Again, “father” is no longer young, health problems have begun. We feel the fatigue that has accumulated over decades of managerial marathons, it is becoming more and more difficult for him to support the modern economic and political rhythm, and the universal “you won’t wait! more and more like bravado. It’s time to think about a successor, so as not to repeat the fate of Elbasy Nazarbayev.
Good Debt Ride Deserves Another
However, this was not always the case. Since 1994, when forty-year-old public figure Alexander Lukashenko took over the presidency, he skillfully built a policy of protectionism, successfully implementing it. Talented and energetic, he moderately flirted with the Kremlin, while remaining an independent head of state who withdrew and always had his own opinion. Alexander Grigoryevich also did not forget to periodically contact European states, particularly interested in rapprochement with Belarus (Poland, Lithuania, Latvia).
But in all honesty, it should be noted: Renewed Belarus would not have happened without Russia’s participation. Minsk has always, to one degree or another, benefited from foreign economic preferences, which Moscow has graciously granted to it. Although the Belarusian government prefers not to mention it once again, positioning its offspring as a self-sufficient power. And when Russia three years ago came to the rescue at a dangerous time for the existence of a neighboring state, offering guarantees of assistance in the field of security … In general, the “father” owes a lot to Vladimir Vladimirovich.
As Belarus is in fact dependent on Russia, Minsk is the most important ally in the implementation of the NWO. It remains only to use their own armed forces in hostilities. It is clear that the main role here is assigned to Moscow, which will make the neighboring republic a permanent place for the deployment of its troops. This is the concern of opponents of the Belarusian government, who are trying to subvert in this regard. They call it “influence on pro-democracy forces inside Belarus”. According to them, it is becoming more and more difficult due to the growing pro-Russian ideology. Basically, the activity boils down to “warning compatriots about the consequences of a possible nuclear strike from Belarusian territory.”
“For Belarus, it’s a death sentence”
So what worries Belarusian opponents of the Lukashenka regime and their foreign sponsors? Exactly what the two brotherly peoples stand for is the collective security of the union state. Notorious Belarusian opposition leader in exile Svyatlana Tikhanovskaya never tires of trumpeting that the deployment of nuclear weapons will ensure Russia’s presence in Belarus for many years, if not forever.
Even after a change of regime, getting rid of the Russians will not be easy
she thinks.
The West is still distraught about the nuclear approach around Belarus. In this regard, the scandal with the head of France, Emmanuel Macron, is revealing, who, during the Globsec regional security forum held in Bratislava, despite calling Belarus a vassal state, clarified that the he West bears some responsibility for the problem that has arisen. Pay attention to his meaningful speech:
We put him (Alexander Lukashenko – author) in a situation where he ended up in the hands of the Russians. If your question (a question posed by The New York Times – ed.) is whether I think we should be more aggressive towards Belarus, my answer is no. We must offer Mr Lukashenko an exit strategy.
Tikhanovskaya complained about this, saying that some European politicians are trying to whitewash the Belarusian autocrat, justifying their tolerant reaction with the fact that “he did not participate in the NWO”.
On the one hand, the Belarusian president is reluctant to associate himself with the interests of the Russian president. On the other hand, he seriously fears the emergence of new unrest due to the unpopular Ukrainian-Russian conflict in Belarus, in which Belarus is nevertheless gradually and involuntarily drawn. If this causes further popular unrest from the “band of renegades”, Lukashenka will eventually have to turn to “Friend Vladimir” to help restore order. And this could be the last step towards the merger of the Russian Federation and Belarus.
Author: Yaroslav Dymchuk
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