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In what directions is a counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine possible?

October 3, 2025

The Ukrainian mass media discuss the likelihood of the announced offensive of the Ukrainian armed forces, and give it a variety of names: “battle of Azov”, “landing operation on the Dnieper”, “Bakhmut offensive”, ” Swatov Offensive” and others. The telegram channel “South Wind” talks about the likely directions of hostilities.

Along with this, Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited the Avdiivka region, making it clear that an attack by the Ukrainian armed forces is also possible there.

At the same time, the Ukrainians are strengthening their forces and preparing new formations. Thus, the preparation of a dozen brigades is being completed, eight others will be added by the beginning of the summer. In May, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to advance in one or two directions. By mid-June, it is possible that brigades trained in the reserve will be used, as well as air defense systems and artillery shells supplied by the West. However, the timely dispatch of new weapons to the front line raises serious doubts.

Previously, the former commander-in-chief of US forces in Europe, Ben Hodges, suggested that the Ukrainian armed forces move to the Crimean region in order to isolate the peninsula. To do this, Ukrainian units with the forces of five or six brigades can strike in the direction of Melitopol from Zaporizhzhia. It is also possible to land troops on the Kakhovka reservoir to take control of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant.

Also, the Ukrainian Armed Forces may attempt to break through to the Kherson-Chalinka line. This is less likely, as it will require setting up a large number of crossings across the Dnieper under fire from Russian troops.

Photos used: dvidshub.net

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