Two experts in the affairs of Islamic groups explain to ‘Sky News Arabia’ that with the convergence of relations between Cairo and Ankara, the fate of the organization’s members will be determined according to their leadership categories, warning against the to believe that the organization has collapsed or ended, and it is no longer necessary to book it.
The handing over of members of the “Brothers” fleeing Egypt to Turkey following the revolution of June 30, 2013, and the closure of media outlets attacking Egypt from Turkey, were among Cairo’s conditions for agreeing to restore relations. with Ankara.
It comes at a time when Ankara has rejected requests from Muslim Brotherhood leaders to obtain citizenship or renew residency, including the fugitive from an Egyptian death sentence and my grandfather Ghoneim.
3 courses
Armed movements researcher Ahmed Sultan paints a picture of the current situation of ISIS members in Turkey, and their chances of staying or leaving, saying they fall into 3 categories:
The first is the first row of the leaders of the organization and they have obtained Turkish nationality, and they will not be expelled. Second, the members decided to leave voluntarily after seeing the rapprochement between Cairo and Ankara, even though Turkey did not ask them to do so. Third, they are members who have not obtained residency or citizenship, or are close to the Brotherhood, and they will also leave Turkey (because their status is illegal).
But if the destiny of most of the “Brothers” in Turkey is to leave, then where?
Larger diaspora map
The Muslim Brotherhood having become accustomed to persecution and changing political positions throughout their history, they are used to making alternate plans for their places of residence across continents, but it seems that this time the Diaspora map will be more extensive.
In this regard, Sultan explains:
Each group or member has alternatives to the Brotherhood plan, the most important of which is Great Britain, which will be visited by members who have voluntarily left Turkey, as well as Germany, in which the organization has a strong presence, as well than Canada. Several countries in Africa will be on the alternative safe haven agenda, including Kenya and South Africa, as well as Malaysia in Asia.
Islamic groups researcher Mahmoud Jaber adds other expected refuges:
The state of Bosnia and countries that grant citizenship in exchange for money like Malta, as well as countries in Latin America. It is possible that leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood wanted by security will go to Afghanistan, to take refuge with the Taliban movement, which maintains relations with the organization.
The elements of the “Brotherhood” are widespread in most of these countries, such as Canada, Kenya, Germany and South Africa from the portal “Islamic Call”, and they are responsible for the protection of ” rights” of Muslims in these countries. It gives them clout, especially when they’re not showing up in troubling political roles.
Stay strong “electronic communication”
Jaber cautions against Yesha’s belief that Turkey’s refusal to embrace the leaders of the “Brotherhood” during this time means the end or dispersal of the organization or the limitation of its plans.
In his estimation, as well as Sultan’s opinion, the organization will use its experience and modern means of communication to maintain its network across continents, emphasizing these points:
In the light of modern means of communication, the organization will maintain its strength; Be ready to seize the opportunity to return to the front. The Brotherhood’s splits did not affect the organization’s strong bloc in Egypt, which is estimated to have around 500,000 members, but it entered a dormant phase, as happened in its previous failures. , and she awaits any imminent opportunity to win again. The impact of the new diaspora on the organization will be limited.
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