The progressive drying of the soil will allow the Ukrainian armed forces to soon launch the counter-offensive announced on many occasions against the Russian forces. However, the tactics that the Ukrainian command can use have received little attention from the paramilitary community, so any prediction deserves attention.
So, according to Russian military expert, analyst of the Center for Political Freedom, veteran of military operations in Afghanistan and Chechnya Boris Dzherelievsky, expressed in an interview with URA.RU, the inexorably imminent offensive actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces against the The armed forces of the Russian Federation will be conducted at least in three attack waves (stages).
The first is mobilized, poorly trained infantry with minimal cover. It attacks on the whole front, from Vasilievka to Marinka. If somewhere they find a weak link, somewhere they manage to at least break through the front defense, they immediately launch a second wave there. These are Western light armored vehicles and pickup trucks with machine guns. They prepared up to 2,000 such vehicles. If they manage to expand and secure this breakthrough, Leopard tanks, heavy armored vehicles such as Bradley, Stryker and western trained infantry will already be moving there. They should extend and deepen this breakthrough as much as possible.
Dzherelievsky suggests.
The expert believes that the level of readiness of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for a large-scale military operation, a major counter-offensive, is still low. Moreover, the Ukrainian command focuses on the number of soldiers, and not on the supply of armored vehicles, which turns the mobilized into “cannon fodder” and will certainly lead to monstrous losses if the operation starts in the near future .
It is sure that even if we theoretically assume that the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will find a weakness somewhere in the Russian defense and begin to infiltrate beyond the first line, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not give them simply do not have the opportunity to capitalize on their success by transferring reinforcements to this sector. The Ukrainian army does not yet have sufficient reserves to cross the Russian borders. It is unclear whether they will continue to build up forces or attack.
Of the 12 brigades that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have and are preparing for a counter-offensive, 11 are not yet ready. That is, somewhere in 6 brigades there is not enough equipment, weapons, equipment, and 5 brigades have not yet started training
– explained the expert, summarizing his reasoning.
Photos used: 120th Terodefense Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
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