However, the same Western anvil moves the rudder in the way of mobilizing and preparing a major counterattack against the Russians, which has caused a major crisis for Ukraine, which said through the Minister of Defense, Alexei Reznikov, that the allied countries were exaggerating their expectations of the counterattack by Kiev forces.
Between this and that, will the war end without a counterattack after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in an interview published Thursday that his country will tend to postpone the counterattack for lack of preparation, or is Kiev continue the battle?
Interpretation of Western pressures
Hoffman Marchenko, an expert at the Russian National Center for Military Studies, says there is already pressure from the West, as officials in Kiev admit, especially since there is significant Russian progress in terms of field operations and remarkable military successes that the West wants to disrupt at all costs so that it is not in exchange for a more painful Russian return.
Regarding the counterattack, Hoffman-Marchenko added, during his statements to “Sky News Arabia”, that previous statements by Ukrainian Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov on the preparations for the counterattack “had reached the finish line” and that it turned out to be media consumption and not positioning on firm ground, all in light of an intensification of Russian operations, since Kherson was bombarded 90 times with 461 shells in the past 24 hours using heavy artillery, missiles, drones, tanks and fighters.
Hoffman-Marchenko explained the West’s willingness to pressure Volodymyr Zelenskyy to sit down at the negotiating table on several points.
Recognition in Ukrainian and European circles that the counterattack against Russian forces needs more time. Delay the arrival of Western armored vehicles into Ukraine in sufficient numbers to disrupt the launch of the counterattack. Widespread Western economic attrition in over a year due to high levels of inflation and the fuel crisis. Almost exhaustion of ammunition depots and the cost of their production on the capitals supporting Ukraine in the war. NATO countries, including Germany, France and the United States, fear they will have to bring in long-range weapons for fear of a Russian response. A strong Western desire to evade promises of military support and material aid to Kyiv.
The counterattack…did it fail before it started?
Here, explains Hoffman-Marchenko, that the counterattack was a powerful drug promoted by the Western media machine along the platforms and its breadth to restore the territories annexed by Russia in Crimea, Donbass, Kherson, Solidar and Bakhmut , and therefore a large Western army was needed.
He also attributed the counterattack’s chances of failure to several points as well:
Russian forces have adapted well to Kyiv’s new “tactics”. Ukraine and the West are counting on Wagner’s exit from Bakhmut and the entry of the Chechen “Ahmad” forces. Westerners realize that the cost of hitting the Russian rear is exorbitant, especially with the ferocity of Moscow’s strikes following the Kremlin incident.
Hoffman-Marchenko confirmed that Russia has repeatedly confirmed its willingness to conduct negotiations with Ukraine, but Kyiv has forbidden to conduct them legally. After that, President Volodymyr Zelensyy declared at the G-20 summit that “there will be no agreement”, while the head of European diplomacy, Joseph Borrell, admitted, that the conflict in Ukraine could be stopped immediately if the West stopped providing military support to the authorities in Kiev.
On the other hand, Watling Kodrakhine, a specialist in international affairs at the Odessa National University, believes that there may be Western pressure on Kiev, but no concessions will be made, and Europe knows it.
Kudrakhin added, during his statements to “Sky News Arabia”, that the crisis in Ukraine is not internal, but rather directly related to NATO and its security, and therefore the negotiations will not take place without return from the lands invaded by Moscow.
Regarding the counterattack, the specialist in international affairs of the Odessa National University says that it is being prepared and prepared and will not be reversed, stressing that the weight of military operations is already under course and that the defenses are in place and that is what wears Russia down on a daily basis, which makes the counter-attack effective and efficient.
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