Street Fighter is heading into its opening weekend as the favorite to lead the North American box office, with Paramount forecasting a domestic debut in the mid-$30 millions and a similar international launch. But the weekend’s more unusual test belongs to You Can See Everything, an Elizabeth Holmes documentary seeking a substantial audience from a much smaller theatrical release.
The forecasts put the video-game adaptation on course for a worldwide opening of roughly $70 million. Those numbers are projections, not completed ticket sales, and the domestic estimates vary: Variety reported a $25 million–$35 million range, while The Hollywood Reporter cited the studio’s mid-$30 million expectation.
Paramount is releasing Street Fighter in more than 3,500 North American theaters on Friday, October 16. Directed by Kitao Sakurai, the film stars Noah Centineo, Andrew Koji and Callina Liang, bringing Capcom’s fighting-game characters back to cinemas in a story built around a combat tournament.
Its release follows a year in which established properties have produced very different results. Paramount’s Scary Movie revival delivered a franchise-record opening, but a familiar title alone does not establish how long audiences will keep buying tickets. Street Fighter’s opening will be only the first measure of its performance.
A projected win, with an $82 million production bill
Legendary Pictures and Capcom split Street Fighter’s $82 million production budget evenly, The Hollywood Reporter reported. Paramount distributes the movie, the first release under its distribution agreement with Legendary. That separates the distributor’s position from the companies that financed production.
The reboot is the third feature based on the game franchise. Set in 1993, it follows estranged fighters Ryu and Ken as Chun-Li recruits them for a tournament that brings them back into combat. Koji plays Ryu, Centineo plays Ken and Liang plays Chun-Li.
Reviews have been mixed to negative. The Hollywood Reporter cited a 43 percent Rotten Tomatoes critics score at the time of its report. That figure can change as reviews accumulate; it is not an audience score or a measure of tickets sold.
The broader business has already seen substantial studio milestones, including Universal’s passage beyond $5 billion worldwide. For this release, however, the immediate question is narrower: whether Street Fighter can turn an expected first-place start into sustained business beyond its opening frame.
An Elizabeth Holmes documentary takes a smaller-screen gamble
A24’s You Can See Everything is opening in around 800 North American theaters. The Hollywood Reporter put its projected debut around $7 million, while Variety reported expectations of $7 million–$8 million. That would put it within reach of a notably strong start for a documentary, despite a theater count far below those of the weekend’s major studio releases.
Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim directed the film, which follows Theranos founder Holmes before she began serving her prison sentence for defrauding investors. Variety reported that the filmmakers worked on the project for more than three years before its unveiling at the Telluride Film Festival in September.
Both trade publications cited a 100 percent Rotten Tomatoes critics score at the time of their reports. Strong reviews give the release a different selling point from the tournament spectacle of Street Fighter, although critical approval alone does not settle its commercial prospects.
Whalefall and Jane Austen widen the weekend’s choices
20th Century Studios’ Whalefall is targeting $10 million–$12 million from 3,065 North American locations. Brian Duffield directed the $60 million survival thriller, adapted from Daniel Kraus’ 2023 novel. Austin Abrams plays a scuba diver swallowed by a sperm whale while searching for his late father’s remains. Josh Brolin plays the father.
Focus Features is also opening Georgia Oakley’s Sense and Sensibility in 2,436 locations. The Hollywood Reporter cited an $8 million domestic projection; Variety placed its expected debut between $5 million and $8 million. Daisy Edgar-Jones and Esmé Creed-Miles play the Dashwood sisters in the latest adaptation of Jane Austen’s novel.
Those releases offer distinct alternatives to Street Fighter: a contained survival story, a literary adaptation and an unconventional documentary. Earlier this year, Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day exceeded its opening projections, illustrating why advance estimates remain a starting point rather than a final result. This weekend’s forecasts favor Street Fighter, while the documentary’s smaller rollout makes its per-theater performance a separate result to watch.
