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Vitol: Asia to Lead Oil Demand Growth in H2

October 2, 2025

“We are approaching the second half of the year where the world will need about two million additional barrels a day, largely due to growing Asian demand,” Mike Mueller said at the conference on the Middle Eastern oil and gas in Dubai.

It should be noted that the productivity of Chinese refineries increased by almost 19% in April, in the latest indication that Chinese demand for petroleum derivatives could increase faster than expected.

The daily average of 14.87 million barrels per day represents an increase of 18.9% year-on-year, which is the second highest level of Chinese oil demand after March figures of 14.9 million. barrels per day.

According to the U.S. ‘Oil Price’ bulletin published this month, refinery production rates in March stood at 14.9 million barrels per day, but that was due to stockpiling relative to average production. of 14.36 million barrels per day for January and February.

Both figures were well above productivity rates from the previous year, when China was in the grip of COVID-19 lockdowns.

Economists expect China to account for the bulk of oil demand growth this year, with expectations of between 500,000 and one million barrels per day.

And demand in China is being closely watched by analysts and oil traders as it gives an indication of economic growth, at a time when Western economies are facing an economic downturn and experiencing a series of financial crises.

But reports of weak economic data out of China in recent weeks have raised concerns about demand from the world’s biggest oil importer and second-largest oil consumer.

Read the Latest World News Today on The Eastern Herald.

Arab Desk

Arab Desk

The Arab Desk leads The Eastern Herald's reporting on the Middle East and North Africa. The desk has covered the Gaza-Israel war since October 2023, the Iran-Israel war of 2025-2026, the fall of the Assad government in Syria, Hezbollah's political and military shifts in Lebanon, the war in Yemen, and the diplomatic realignment of the Gulf states under the Abraham Accords and the Saudi-Iranian rapprochement.

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