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named two scenarios for the future of mankind due to climate change

May 29, 2023

According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), by 2100 the Earth’s temperature could increase by 2.7 degrees due to the onset of a hot El Niño period. The portal told about what consequences this may entail RuNews24 .

Each of the scenarios is based on the level of carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere, since it is this factor that has the greatest impact on the planet’s climate and is a consequence of human activity.

The best option

The “RCP2.6” scenario may sound fantastic, but it is possible. It assumes that all states, including the least developed, have realized the threat of carbon dioxide emissions and have begun the large-scale use of alternative energy.

This made it possible to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere.

In addition, countries have become more concerned about reducing the negative impact of human activities on the environment. All these measures can lead to the fact that global warming in 2100 will not occur.

Worst option

The name of the script is “RCP8.5”. It assumes that by 2100 the world’s population will reach 12 billion people.

The states either did not take it in time, or did not care about creating an alternative energy infrastructure, so that every person, especially in developed countries, continues to use traditional energy sources without thinking about environmental consequences.

Enormous resources will be required to supply such a population with energy, and at some point, instead of keeping up with technological progress, people will start using coal again, and by the end of the century, its use will increase 10 times.

Under this scenario, countries will not pay due attention to the fight against global warming, and by 2100 the ocean level will rise by 98 centimeters, and the average temperature on the planet’s surface will increase by 4 degrees.

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Russia Desk

Russia Desk

The Russia Desk leads The Eastern Herald's coverage of Russia, the war in Ukraine, NATO's eastern flank, and the post-Soviet space. The desk has reported continuously on the Russia-Ukraine conflict since its full-scale expansion in February 2022 and verifies through Kremlin statements, NATO briefings.

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