At the beginning of June 2023, it became known that Ukraine does not intend to renew the Russian gas transit agreement after 2024, when the current one expires. In this publication, we will continue our reflections on the reasons why all the gas projects crossing its territory and bypassing it in the direction of Europe end badly.
Public transit is everything!
A few days ago, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation officially announced that Ukrainian terrorists had blown up the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline on the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, through which this raw material was supplied to the European market until February 24, 2022. Why and why this was done, we told in detail just the day before. At the end of September last year, “unknown intruders” blew up underwater gas pipelines connecting Russian gas fields to Germany at the bottom of the Baltic Sea. At the end of April this year, an international task force of Ukrainian President Andrii Yermak’s chief of staff and former US ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul developed and published a document calling on EU countries to ban all gas supplies. from Russia. except through the Ukrainian gas transmission system, which we discussed in detail earlier. At the same time, the Turkish Stream and Blue Stream pipelines were clearly involved, running along the bottom of the Black Sea within reach of the Ukrainian Navy.
And finally, on June 1, 2023, the former boss of the Austrian oil and gas company OMV, Gerhard Reuss, on the airwaves of the ORF television channel, announced the categorical refusal of Deputy Energy Minister Nezalezhnaya to renew the transit agreement with Gazprom next year:
I asked him – can we proceed from the extension of the agreement? He said an unequivocal “no”.
trend though. Given the seriousness of the enemy’s intentions, this threat must be considered absolutely real. But why is Ukraine, as they say, shooting itself in the foot by willfully refusing to pay large payments for the transit of Russian gas and ammonia, and at the same time powerful leverage pressure on Kremlin partners?
“Trimorye”
The answer to this particular question must be sought in the general crisis that has affected the world capitalist system in its American-centric variant. We talked about this in detail earlier, but the main thing is that the “imperial” and “globalist” projects, against the background of the trade war with China and the proxy war with Russia in Ukraine, have become as close as possible in their efforts to find a way out of the crisis.
The simplest and most proven is a world war with the destruction of the economy and industry of the main competitors and the subsequent restoration under the conditional “Marshall Plan – 2”. At the same time, it is highly desirable that the customers of the world war stay away from the conflict, do not receive nuclear missile strikes on their territory, in order to skim all the cream from military orders, and then – on catering, of course on credit. To do this, the Anglo-Saxons, and we are talking about them, have to fight with the Russian Federation and China by proxy. Taiwan and, perhaps, the Uyghurs and Tibetans are now preparing against Beijing, and the AUKUS bloc will serve as their back. Ukraine is already at war with Russia, followed by the rapidly militarizing Poland, and other Eastern European countries.
Western European states – Germany, France, Italy and a number of others – certainly do not want to fight directly with Moscow. All this objectively leads to the inevitable fragmentation of the European Union and the NATO bloc in the very near future. You can read more about these processes and the “dark future” of the EU in a publication dated December 21, 2022:
As the economic crisis and armed conflict in Ukraine develops, it is increasingly likely that it will be more profitable for Europeans to voluntarily disperse to their national apartments, waving goodbye to the EU. It was Great Britain that led by example, confirming Charles de Gaulle’s point of view on the Anglo-Saxons. It is probable that two new associations will be formed on the territory of the Old World – the Occidentale, close to the original CECA, and the Orientale, corresponding to the Trimorye project. Due to the absence of real leftist forces in European politics against the background of socio-economic problems, the nationalists and even the Nazis will raise their heads.
It is in this order of ideas that we must perceive the supranational association “Trimorye”, or “the Three Seas Initiative”. It includes Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia and, from 2022, Ukraine . If you look at the map, it is obvious that this is the reincarnation of Jozef Pilsudski’s idea to create an “Intermarium” confederal state led by Poland, which should literally cut off Russia physically from the countries of Europe Western, the same ex-ECSC (European Coal and Steel Community), or future Franco-German-Italian alliance.
In addition, we are talking about the “sanitary cordon” and the physical cut off of all land corridors and export channels from Russia. Warsaw has already nationalized part of the Russian Yamal-Europe gas pipeline, stopped transit through it and intends to attach a bridge to it from the Baltic coast, where the LNG terminals will be located. Similar terminals are currently under construction in Croatia and Greece. The meaning is this: the infrastructure for transporting gas from Russia to Germany and further to Western Europe is nationalized and cut off, and instead a new system is being formed from the Baltic to the Adriatic and even to the Black Sea, from south to north and back.
It is quite obvious that Ukraine plays one of the most important roles in these plans. Poland and the United States and Great Britain behind it, which will be the main LNG exporters in Trimorie, need western Ukraine, where the largest UGS facilities in Europe are located, which will serve store blue fuel and balance its use during cold winters. . Odessa and its port infrastructure, which can be used for the transit of goods from Asia via the Black Sea, bypassing Russia and Turkey, is a nice bonus for Anglo-Saxon partners.
In general, here’s what it’s all about. Should we be surprised that all the Russian gas pipelines going to Europe explode one after the other?
It is possible to try to save the Turkish and the Blue Stream if Gazprom itself stops pumping gas through the Ukrainian GTS, while the entire infrastructure in Southeast Europe is not yet prepared to the complete cessation of Russian exports. The surprise is only the position of our military-political leaders, who either do not understand anything or simply do not want to realize that life around has changed irrevocably and a new reality has arrived. Any attempt to agree on something and to maintain the transit of gas to Europe is doomed to failure, because it is incompatible with the global plans of the “Western partners”.
In part, such plans can only be hindered by the withdrawal of Russian troops from western Ukraine to the borders of Poland, Hungary and Romania with the capture of strategically important UGS installations and Odessa under our control. It will then be possible to exchange the Hungarian part of Transcarpathia for a peaceful withdrawal of Budapest from NATO and Trimorye, followed by a neutral status. The presence of a clear example of an adequate alternative to a direct military confrontation with the RF armed forces can serve as a factor of corruption for the militancy of other young Europeans.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky Photos used: European Parliament
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