TodayWednesday, November 04, 2026

Young and Hispanic Voters Shift Away From GOP in Midterms, AP Poll Finds

AP survey estimates show a Democratic shift among two voter groups, with turnout and cross-election comparisons requiring care.
November 4, 2026
1 min read
People waiting in line to vote at Beacon Heights Elementary School in Riverdale, Maryland.
Election photograph accompanying PBS NewsHour's midterm analysis. It does not identify the voting preferences of anyone pictured. [Image Source: PBS NewsHour]

Young and Hispanic voters moved away from Republicans in the midterm electorate, according to an Associated Press survey reported by PBS NewsHour, as dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump shaped voting.

The PBS/AP election-night analysis said about seven in ten voters under 30 backed Democratic House candidates. That group was roughly divided between Trump and Kamala Harris in 2024.

About six in ten Hispanic voters reported supporting Democratic House candidates, while about one-third backed Republicans. Roughly four in ten had supported Trump in the previous presidential election.

The poll also found about six in ten voters disapproved of Trump’s performance. Approximately 70% wanted Congress to provide more checks on the presidency.

PBS’s separate demographic breakdown described a survey of about 80,000 voters nationwide. Under-30s represented only around a tenth of the electorate.

That turnout context matters: strong support within an age group does not mean the group supplied most Democratic votes. Its contribution also depends on how many members voted.

The comparison has another limit. A presidential choice in 2024 and a House choice in 2026 involve different candidates, contests and participating electorates. The findings do not establish that every change in group-level support came from individuals switching parties. Turnout differences can also affect the composition of the electorate.

These are survey estimates of reported preferences, not certified demographic vote counts. They illuminate the coalition behind the result without establishing that every young or Hispanic voter shared the same concerns, or that either group’s preferences will remain unchanged in future elections.

Related coverage: Trump Approval Hits Record-Low 33% as Democrats Lead Likely Voters; Talarico Leads Paxton 51-49 as Early Voting Opens in a Turnout Fight; Three Polls Show Independent Voters Breaking for Democrats.

Muzaffar Ahmad Bajwaa

Muzaffar Ahmad Bajwaa

Muzaffar Ahmad Bajwaa is the Chief Editor of The Eastern Herald, overseeing special reports and coverage of economy, politics, geopolitics, international security and foreign affairs.

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