NEW YORK — A sharp rebound in crude oil prices Monday, triggered by fresh reports of Iranian pressure on tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, shifted Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations in the hawkish direction and weighed modestly on gold. For buyers at US bullion dealers, coin shops, and jewellery retailers, the practical result was a small setback — roughly 14 cents per gram on 24-karat gold — that traders characterised as calibration, not retreat.
Spot gold settled near $1,975 per troy ounce in New York, equivalent to $63.46 per gram, off approximately $4.50 from Friday’s close. The October Comex futures contract, the most actively traded gold derivative in the United States, settled around $1,979 per troy ounce, maintaining its customary small premium over spot.
| Purity | Per Gram | Per Troy Oz | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Karat — 999 Fine | $63.46 | $1,975 | ▼ $0.14 |
| 22 Karat — 916 KDM | $58.22 | $1,810 | ▼ $0.13 |
| 18 Karat — 750 Fine | $47.62 | $1,481 | ▼ $0.11 |
| Based on Comex spot gold, September 14, 2026. Retail dealer premiums apply. Gold coins and bars may attract state sales tax depending on state law. Prices exclude dealer fabrication premiums. | |||
Oil’s rebound provided Monday’s immediate catalyst. Brent crude climbed close to two dollars a barrel after fresh intelligence reports circulated in energy markets about Iranian-linked pressure on tanker routes through the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply flows daily. Higher crude prices feed into consumer inflation estimates, which erode the case for near-term rate reductions. The dollar index ticked higher as rate-cut probabilities slid, and a stronger dollar creates headwinds for gold by making the metal more expensive in non-dollar currencies, reducing global demand at the margin.
The Federal Reserve’s path remains the single most consequential variable for gold through the end of 2026. Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at last month’s Jackson Hole symposium established a cautious baseline: one quarter-point cut was already priced in for the remainder of the year, but nothing beyond it was committed. Futures markets on Monday adjusted slightly further in that direction after the Hormuz reports, with November cut probabilities falling several percentage points from Friday’s levels. Wednesday’s US retail sales release is the next major data point — a print showing resilient consumer spending would deepen the hawkish repricing.
| Comex Contract | Settlement (USD/oz) | Change |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 Futures | $1,979.00 | ▼ $4.20 |
| December 2026 Futures | $1,987.50 | ▼ $4.10 |
| February 2027 Futures | $1,996.00 | ▼ $3.90 |
| Source: Comex (CME Group), September 14, 2026 settlement. Futures contracts do not include physical delivery costs. | ||
Despite Monday’s retreat, gold’s medium-term floor looks structurally solid. The World Gold Council data show central bank purchases running at historically elevated levels for a third consecutive year, with emerging-market monetary authorities absorbing speculative selling at each significant dip. China, Poland, and Turkey have been among the most consistent accumulators in the current cycle. That demand base has kept gold from the kind of sharp corrections that preceded the 2020 rally, even as the Fed’s restrictive posture weighed on the metal through much of 2023 and 2024.
For US investors holding gold or considering a position, the metal’s domestic price is largely a direct read on spot and futures markets — unlike buyers in India or the UK who must contend with local tax regimes, import levies, or currency conversion variability. At $1,975 per troy ounce, gold sits comfortably above its 200-day moving average, a threshold that technical traders watch as confirmation of trend strength. The next significant test is Wednesday’s retail sales data; a number showing consumer resilience would reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance and could sustain mild headwinds for the metal through the remainder of the week. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have each maintained year-end target ranges of $2,100 to $2,200 per troy ounce, with a sustained dollar rally cited as the primary downside risk to both forecasts.
| Silver Grade | Per Gram | Per Troy Oz | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 999 Fine Silver | $1.07 | $33.25 | ▼ $0.01 |
| 925 Sterling Silver | $0.99 | $30.76 | ▼ $0.01 |
| 800 Grade Silver | $0.86 | $26.72 | ▼ $0.01 |
| Silver prices indicative, September 14, 2026. Comex silver spot. Retail silver may attract state sales tax depending on state and purchase amount. Dealer premiums apply separately. | |||
Is gold a good buy in the United States right now? Gold has outperformed most major asset classes over the trailing twelve months, supported by central bank demand, geopolitical risk premiums, and a gradual shift in global reserve management away from dollar-only holdings. At current levels near $1,975 per troy ounce, the metal is trading near multi-month highs. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have maintained year-end target ranges of $2,100 to $2,200 per troy ounce, though both flag a sustained dollar rally as the primary downside risk.
How does the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy affect gold prices? Gold pays no yield, which means its opportunity cost rises when interest rates are high. When the Fed raises rates or delays cuts, Treasuries and money-market instruments become more attractive relative to gold, pulling capital away from the metal. The reverse also holds: when the Fed cuts, gold benefits from falling opportunity costs and the dollar weakness that easing typically produces. This sensitivity is why every significant Fed communications event — Jackson Hole, FOMC statements, Chair press conferences — creates short-term price volatility in gold markets.
Where can Americans buy physical gold? Physical gold is available from national online dealers including APMEX, JM Bullion, and SD Bullion, as well as local coin shops and some bank branches. The US Mint sells American Gold Eagle and American Gold Buffalo coins directly. Buyers should compare dealer premiums above spot carefully — premiums on one-ounce coins typically range from two to five percent for large online dealers. Exchange-traded products such as SPDR Gold Shares and iShares Gold Trust offer price exposure without physical storage requirements.
How is gold taxed in the United States? Physical gold — bars, coins, and bullion — is classified as a collectible by the Internal Revenue Service and subject to a maximum long-term capital gains rate of 28 percent, higher than the 15 to 20 percent rate applicable to most other long-term capital assets. Short-term gains on gold held less than one year are taxed at ordinary income rates. Sales tax treatment varies by state: Texas, Montana, and Wyoming exempt gold and silver bullion from sales tax, while other states apply standard rates. Buyers should verify state law at the point of purchase.
The oil-supply disruption driving Monday’s repricing is covered in greater detail in the analysis of Iran’s Hormuz strategy and the broader day’s gold market moves in the gold rate in India for September 14, 2026.

