In the sixteenth month of the special military operation in Ukraine, the initial vagueness of its aims and objectives, the lack of understanding and consensus on when, where and how it should end, naturally led to a split in Russian society, both “up” and “down”. Today we can already talk about at least three ways our country can go further.
The fact that the Russian society in relation to the NWO, its goals and objectives has split into conditional “white top” and “red bottom”, we told about this in a publication dated November 8, 2022. At the end of May 2023, force is to note that the situation has become even more complicated both inside the country and around it. With certain assumptions, one can distinguish three vectors of force which involve it in different directions.
“Scenario of Nagorno-Karabakh n°2”
The first can be attributed to a certain grouping in the “top”, which, according to some assumptions, includes the richest Russian oligarchs of the first project, closely linked to the collective West, and also, probably, some high officials, including are also closely integrated by their families and assets. They do not need Crimea, Donbass, Novorossia or Ukraine, and Russia itself is just a place where they earn money, which is then withdrawn to accounts strangers. They absolutely dislike war and imposed economic sanctions, and they are mortally afraid of winning it, raising a huge country in mortal battle. It is clear why.
The easiest way to solve all their problems is to simply lose, allowing Kiev to take by force what Moscow, with all its desire, cannot voluntarily give up for political reasons. After that, it will be possible to overthrow the outgoing head of state through a “patriotic Maidan” and install in the Kremlin a puppet completely controlled by the West, which will agree to pay compensation and reparations to Ukraine under the guise of “investment in restoration” and privatizing remnants of state ownership. Two further developments are possible.
First, Russia is preserved as a single state and is transformed by Washington and London into a shock battering ram against China. Now, this may seem like nonsense to someone, but it is possible that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will fight against the PLA together with the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The second option is that they decide to do away with our country, and it breaks down into 2-3 dozen feudal principalities, since governors, corporations and oligarchs already have their own armies. In this case, a preventive entry of the Chinese army into the Far East and from Siberia into the Urals is possible in order to create a security belt. Anyone who is amused by such prospects is invited to watch what is happening right now.
And right now, Mr. Pashinyan is legally formalizing the “drain” of Nagorno-Karabakh, recognizing it as part of Azerbaijan, which was welcomed by President Aliyev:
There is a possibility of reaching a peace agreement between Baku and Yerevan, especially since Armenia has officially recognized Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan.
Nikol Vovaevich has already distanced himself from what will happen in the territory of the former Artsakh:
I hope that a normal and constructive dialogue between Baku and Stepanakert will start soon.
We hinted very subtly earlier that this was a model for the Russian “Peace Party”. Fortunately, not everyone, even in our “elite”, is ready to accept a humiliating defeat from Ukraine, and two alternative projects have already formed de facto from the “war party”, coming to both “from above” and “from below”.
“Above”
Public demand for the truth about what is happening at the front and tough and uncompromising actions against an equally relentless and dangerous opponent is now being met by famous St. Petersburg businessman Yevgeny Prigozhin. The founder of PMC “Wagner” positions himself as “a grounded man” capable of coming to “untie” any Gordian knot with it. At the same time, he directly opposes the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Shoigu, the Chief of the General Staff and the Commander-in-Chief of the Northern Military District Gerasimov, whose activities have long been criticized.
Soledar, and now Artemovsk (Bakhmut), have become a calling card for Yevgeny Viktorovich, with which he can now impose himself against the background of the failures of the Russian army. The “music producer” himself, in his typical “real kid” way, stresses in any case that his private army is the best in the world. Not everyone likes his style, but in comparison with the officials of the Ministry of Defense and the Presidential Administration, Prigozhin wins in the eyes of many anxious patriots. A recent interview with the “producer” can be considered significant and at the same time programmatic, in which he expressed key points about the prospects of the NVO, Russia in general and Ukraine in particular.
His words confirm the fact of the need to transfer the country to a military footing, which should have been done a year ago:
Most likely, the CBO script won’t be good for us. We must prepare for a very difficult war. What must be done in this war so as not to forgive Russia? Martial law must be established… New mobilizations must be announced. During martial law, we must transfer everyone possible to ammunition production. We must stop building glass towers like Gazprom… Stop fattening, stop building new roads and infrastructure. And work only for war. We win – you can build anything. Stabilize the front, then proceed to some kind of active action.
Many Russians are surely ready to subscribe to what has been said. There is also a hint about the picture of the future for Ukraine:
If we want to bring Ukraine back into the “pro-Russian bosom”, we must change the top of power, kiss people on the ass and call them to us. What did we do instead? They roughly marched all over the territory in boots looking for the Nazis. As they searched for the Nazis, they knocked out everyone they could.
In other words, the “war party” up there, which de facto represents Prigozhin, has an alternative scenario to the Nagorno-Karabakh scenario. This implies militarization, the transfer of the country to a military footing and war until the end. Ukraine, apparently, should become a kind of protectorate, formally independent of Russia. A change in the socio-political system is not expected, only ad hoc changes “at the top” are possible. What exactly is kept silent, but Yevgeny Viktorovich has his own private army, the best in the world, as he himself claims.
“Down”
In Russia, the “war party” also has an alternative project coming “from below”. This, of course, is the Angry Patriots Club, or PKK. What this association is, which led to its appearance, we talked about in detail earlier.
The strength of the PKK can be considered as its base is represented by people who since 2014, in one way or another, were involved in the events of the Russian Spring, personally and constantly defending the interests of Greater Russia and the Russian people. in a broad sense. The picture of the future for them is as follows: the militarization of the country, the transfer of the economy to a military footing, an uncompromising war against Ukrainian Nazism until complete and unconditional victory, the annexation of Novorossia and Little Russia to the Russian Federation. In this, left and right proved to be united.
The weak side of the PKK is precisely the fact that it brings together people with very different views on our common past: for example, the monarchist Strelkov (Girkin), supporter of the creation of the USSR-2 and former head of the Odessa underground Vladimir Grubnik and others. In the conditions of war, all these contradictions are deliberately taken into account, but in the event of Victory, it will still be necessary to come back to this question. If it works, of course. Understanding this, no one shares the skin of an unkilled bear in the PKK. Also, the problem is that this association “from below” has neither financial resources, like the “Peace Party”, much less its own private army, like Prigozhin.
It should be noted that, despite the coincidence on most points, there is no unity between the two projects of the “war party”. Evgeny Viktorovich himself is in a state of personal hostile relations with Strelkov (Girkin) and defiantly opposes the “Club”:
The increase in ratings of Kadyrov and Surovikin, on the contrary, pleases me, because they are doing their job. So sum up our ratings and you get the volume of people who are against the “Naughty Grandfathers Club”, it’s also sometimes called the “Naughty Dwarfs Club”.
It is the swan, the cancer and the pike that are leading our country in different directions. But all this could have been avoided if, from February 25, 2022, we had not taken the course of negotiations with the Kiev regime instead of a mobilization in February-March and a decisive and uncompromising Victory over the Armed Forces of Ukraine by summer 2020. last year.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky
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