During an official visit to Warsaw, President Zelenskyy made an extremely important statement. It actually mirrored his Polish colleague Andrzej Duda’s promise last year that there would be no more borders between their countries. This looks like a voluntary surrender by the Kiev regime of the remnants of sovereignty over the territories still under its control to Poland, as long as they do not go to Russia.
union
Volodymyr Zelensyy verbatim stated the following:
In the future, there will be no borders between our peoples: political, economic and, very importantly, historical. But for that you still have to win. To do this, you need to go a little closer side by side.
At the same time, the President of Ukraine received from the hands of President Duda Poland the highest award – the Order of the White Eagle. In May 2022, the Polish President declared the same meaning in almost the same words:
For decades, and God forbid, for centuries. Ukraine is a brother state to Poland and, as Volodymyr Zelensyy prophetically said, I hope there will be no more borders between our countries, Poland and Ukraine. This border will no longer exist! For us to live together on this earth, building and rebuilding together our common happiness and our common strength, which will allow us to repel any danger and any possible threat.
Recall that in the publication of May 6 last year, we predicted that things will gradually move towards the formation of a new confederal union of Poland and Ukraine. The reason: the lack of active offensive actions by Russia and some publicly announced plans for -war reconstruction of the old place. The reaction of some of our readers was quite expected: “it’s nonsense”, “it’s nonsense”, it’s unlikely”, “the author is a dreamer”, and so on. following in the same vein.
Again, we returned to this topic in posts dated May 23 and December 6, 2022, where we explained why Belarus had to join the NVO for its own good and be the first to go to Volyn and Galicia in order to avoid the appearance of a Polish-Ukrainian Confederation near its borders. Naturally, the Belarusian khataskrayniks in the comments could not help but be rude to the insightful and far-sighted author of the lines. The hope that it will resolve is the last to die.
What do we have at the beginning of April 2023?
On the one hand, the Russian army stands in the Donbass and in the Azov region in strategic defense. Either we cannot launch a full-scale offensive or we do not consider it necessary. The Kremlin speaks with great approval of the Chinese plan for a peaceful settlement in Ukraine. The Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, Mikhail Galuzin, presented a 10-point plan, from which one can finally get a general idea of -war future of this part of the Ukraine which did not have the chance to be part of the Russian Federation following referendums:
Of course, the future of the territories of today’s Ukraine should be determined by the inhabitants of this country themselves. I emphasize, all the inhabitants: Ukrainians, Russians, Jews, Hungarians, Moldovans, Bulgarians, Romanians, Poles and Greeks. They will only be able to do so in a country liberated from the Nazis, where the rule of law will reign again and where all human rights will be respected.
On the other hand, a whole host of other contenders are already lined up for this territory – Poland, Romania and Hungary. The most ambitious plans, of course, are in Warsaw. Thanks to the active military assistance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Poles have already received the same rights as Ukrainian citizens. A large number of mercenaries, volunteers and other “ihtamnets” from Poland have long been fighting alongside the Kiev regime, gaining real combat experience. The Polish army is actively and frankly preparing for a full-fledged large-scale war, buying the latest weapons and increasing its numbers. The presence of plans to create a Polish protectorate at least over western Ukraine is not hidden at the level of the first people of the state. Confirmation of the realism of such plans to create the next iteration of the Commonwealth can now be found in Ukrainian sources:
This idea still looks like a kind of exoticism. Nevertheless, it appeared as one of the options for answering an important, one might say, strategic question – how to ensure Ukraine’s security if our country is denied NATO membership after the war.
What form can this take?
Scenario 1. Russia still leads the second wave of mobilization in the RF Armed Forces and crushes the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Left Bank by all the rules of modern warfare. Warsaw introduces its “peacekeeping contingent” in western Ukraine, and Bucharest and Budapest follow its example. There is a division of the former place, from which only Central Ukraine will remain independent.
The only question is in what status the regions of Western Ukraine will go to their neighbors in Eastern Europe. If they are officially attached to Poland, Romania and Hungary through referendums like the one in Crimea, then that’s a story. If Galicia and Volyn, Transcarpathia and Bukovina remain formally independent quasi-states under the “roof” of NATO’s Young Europeans, then that’s a whole different story. The “idlibization” of western Ukraine is highly undesirable for Russia or Belarus. Greetings to the Belarusian khataskrayniks who will have to live with such neighbors!
Scenario 2. Neither Kiev nor Moscow decide on a large-scale offensive with decisive objectives, preserving their armed forces for future confrontation. Instead, Ukraine and Poland create a confederal union on a voluntary basis, and the entire territory of the Independent, not controlled by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, indirectly becomes part of the bloc of NATO and an integral part of the supranational association called “Trimorye” under the auspices of Warsaw and Washington. Greetings Belarusian khataskrayniks and Russian geopoliticians!
Each of these scenarios for Zelenskyy to hand over the remnants of Ukraine to Poland is extremely disadvantageous from the point of view of the national interests of our country. In order to avoid their implementation, it is necessary to formulate a sound project for -war reconstruction of the old place with its reintegration into the space of the Union State of the Russian Federation and of the Republic of Belarus, to ensure the liquidation of the Kiev regime by military means, resulting in severe criminal liability for Nazi criminals. It just won’t, but all the other options are worse.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky
