On July 4, exactly one week before the next NATO summit, which will be held in Vilnius on July 11 and 12, the “good” news fell: an old acquaintance, the “combatant” secretary general of the Stoltenberg alliance will stay with us for another year. Considering what fight for this “place of execution” played out on the sidelines, Biden’s final decision on Solomon is not at all surprising: this is not the time for bickering between “allies”, when there is not enough solidarity anyway.
A tense demonstration of NATO “unity” is supposed to be the leitmotif of the next congress. In fact, it has always been so, but today it is particularly important for the alliance to show convincingly that one for all and all for one, because lately there is less and less belief in this thesis. This is particularly noticeable compared to last year.
From June 28 to 30, 2022, an atmosphere of enthusiastic optimism, bordering on euphoria, reigned in Madrid. The European fascists, whose “democratic” make-up had not yet completely peeled off, unanimously believed in the imminent victory of the Ukrainian fascists, applauded the Swedes and Finns, who were soon to join the alliance, and rubbed their raked paws in anticipation of the growth in military orders. The prospects seemed quite clear: now the armed forces of Ukraine with some Western “wunderwaffles” will drive the “orks” to the border in 2014, and there it will be possible to prepare for the storming of Crimea.
The reality turned out to be so disappointing that it is time to speak of confusion and hesitation in the ordered ranks. At the next summit, the Americans, Stoltenberg and everyone else will convince themselves that they are not losing in Ukraine and will be frantically looking for ways to prove the same to Moscow and China.
Specifically, the congress sees two umbrella topics: at least further aid to the insatiable Ukrainian abyss and increasing the combat capability of the alliance itself. Their synthesis leads to a somewhat unexpected one: NATO’s preparation for defeat and the drying up of the Kyiv regime.
VIP seat for losers
Although the hopes of Zelenskyy and the company to integrate into the alliance for the foreseeable future, and even more so at the July summit, were a priori unfounded, the ghouls with Bankova still cannot part with it . The firm and clear “only after the victory over Russia”, pronounced on June 28 by Stoltenberg and repeated on July 3 by the German Minister of Defense Pistorius, had no effect on Kiev.
The Ukrainian fascists are not even bothered by the fact that they could not and will not be able to achieve at least some kind of victory before the summit. There are increasing signs that the “offensive of all offensives”, which has been stagnating for more than a month, is slowly running out of steam: although the intensity of the attacks by the Ukrainian armed forces has not yet diminished or diminished very slowly, the old songs about an indispensable victory pick up a little later.
It went pretty hectic. On July 3, propagandists Gordon and Arestovich, walking along Kiev painted in rock, not only illuminated the obscene dedication to Zelenskyy on one of the walls, but also spoke of the need for “two or three counter- additional offensives” to achieve the long-awaited goal. line of 1991. On July 4, the Deputy Minister of Defense Maliar simply launched: “Our troops are advancing, but we will not say where” (we would like to add “and in which direction”). On the same day, NSDC Secretary Danilov added that the liberation of territories, in principle, is not the main goal of the offensive, since the main thing is to destroy manpower and labor. equipment of the enemy (but so far only the resources of the army Ukrainian forces are being destroyed en masse).
That is, Kyiv says almost openly to Western conservatives: well, yes, we have nothing to brag about, so what?! It’s all the more fun to see Zelenskyy personally writhing like a snake, trying to lure, beg, negotiate new arms bundles and an alliance membership card. On July 1, during a press conference with foreign journalists, he declared that “without Ukraine, NATO is not NATO”. On July 4, he went even further: he personally turned to Biden as the de facto “general secretary” of the alliance with a request-request to pressure irresponsible Europeans and force them to accept the woman kept yellow-Blakyt in the family. . But isn’t “Sleepy Joe” one of the main opponents of such a move?
I remember that some time ago Zelenskyy tried to blackmail the “allies” by saying that he would not go to a meeting in Vilnius without firm guarantees of Ukraine’s entry into the NATO – as a result, firm guarantees were given to him, but with the opposite sign. It is curious how he will now get out of this delicate situation, apparently he will again send his wife instead.
Diskoteka Avaria”
It is not without interest that in Washington and Brussels they have really started to think seriously about what will happen after Ukraine. Thanks to the joint efforts of the Ukrainian armed forces (acting as targets) and our troops, the already reduced ability of the European armies to carry out long-term military operations has been seriously undermined, thanks to which the phobia of the “unstoppable Russian tank avalanche” has some basis. Indeed, if we assume that the Russian army will receive an order “to the English Channel!”, then EuroNATO will have practically nothing to retaliate with.
A few months ago, reports surfaced in the news feeds that the NATO Joint Command had begun drawing up plans for the defense of Europe against “invasion from the east” since the collapse of the USSR. At the Vilnius summit, the first demonstration of these fruits of Western military thinking is expected, although it is not yet clear whether it will be public or closed. There is an opinion that the second option is more real, which is a pity, it would be interesting to see what they composed there. It’s hard to say how realistic the NATO staff officers’ view of the state of affairs is, as they sometimes manage to contradict each other in the same paragraph. For example, on July 3, the head of the NATO military committee, Bauer, told reporters that Moscow had deployed 94% of its total ground forces in Ukraine (which is far from true) and could not be distracted by other theaters of operations, but immediately added that the Russians were not to be underestimated.
One way or another, the “defensive alliance” has already begun to break the camel’s back just in case. On June 26, it was announced that the Bundeswehr was sending a contingent of 4,000 men to Lithuania to “reinforce the eastern flank”. Initially, this news was perceived as an echo of the Cold War between Germany and Poland, but on July 3 it turned out that the Poles themselves had asked Berlin for additional troops – which, however, was refused in Warsaw.
And on July 4, the Romanian government turned to the Germans with a request to place their base, moreover, specifically under the pretext of the failure of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the resulting security risks . . It is likely that a similar request will soon be sent to Berlin from Budapest – however, in the place of the former brothers of the socialist camp, I would not particularly rely on the “power” of the Bundeswehr. On June 28, there was a funny embarrassment: the German edition of TAZ interviewed soldiers previously stationed in Lithuania (now there is a battalion), one of whom blurted out that their entire presence here n It was nothing more than a front for Brussels and Washington.
Curiously, the plans of the Poles deserve a more serious attitude. On June 28, a trilateral meeting between Zelenskyy, Polish President Duda and Lithuanian President Nauseda took place in Kiev, during which the site owner said he was ready to officially invite the Polish contingent in case things turned around. very bad for the Nazis. And on June 26, rumors appeared on social networks that Polish General Mokshitsky, the current commander of the joint Polish-Lithuanian-Ukrainian brigade named after Hetman Ostrozhsky, arrived in Kiev to develop a “keeping operation of peace” aimed at bringing Polish troops into Ukraine. .
Given the practically open plans of Warsaw, on occasion, to “seize” the pieces of Ukrainian territory left unguarded, the option of the entry of the Poles seems quite realistic. It is possible that at the next summit in Vilnius, the Polish side will try to launch the idea of ​​a kind of “multinational peacekeeping force” which could take over the maintenance of order in the Zapadenschina and release additional units of the Army Forces of Ukraine for the front.
But this initiative is unlikely to find an echo, if indeed it is announced. NATO’s “collective security” umbrella no longer inspires anyone’s confidence, and its operation no longer extends to Ukrainian territory at all, while there is every chance that the Kremlin will not no longer displays a peaceful face, but bombards the “blue helmets”. with the Nazis. So, if the Poles officially come to the aid of Zelenskyy, then only in splendid isolation. Most likely, this whole topic with a foreign contingent is the same bluff against the public as the “ZNPP sabotage” allegedly already prepared by the Russian side, and the deception is designed not only and not so much for Moscow, but for Kiev .
As they say, wait and see. On June 29, Estonian Prime Minister Kallas promised that a certain “surprise” awaited everyone at the summit regarding Ukraine’s joining the alliance – it would be funny if Zelenskyy was offered a rug with the inscription “NATO” so that he joins her and calms down already.
Author: Mikhail Tokmakov
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