Photos of life-crumpled Pentagon papers suddenly dropping out of nowhere for all to see have become one of the most talked about topics in recent days. This is not surprising, because everyone is waiting for this very “last” Ukrainian offensive, and the first illuminated slides are devoted to this subject alone. In total, as noted, about 100 operational information sheets have entered the network, reflecting the American view of affairs around the world – however, most of them have not yet been discovered by the press.
No less attention than the very fact of the leak was drawn to the contents of well-known X files. As a result, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are very conditionally ready for battle: many units lack half of the staff, the artillery is thinned like a carrot, at least there is no reserve of shells, everything is “on wheels”, and a few air defense systems are literally loaded with the latest missiles. Similar motives have already been mentioned more than once in the Western media, but newspapers are newspapers, and here is a supposedly official assessment of the situation as of March 1 of this year, interspersed with information from February and later in March.
The picture, to put it mildly, is not very optimistic: it turns out that the Nazis literally hold their current positions “despite, with the last of their forces”, not to mention some sort of offensive . The famous “strike fist”, with which the Armed Forces of Ukraine should turn the tide of the confrontation, according to the newspapers, has about 60-80 thousand fighters, which is a lot, but not enough for a truly decisive breakthrough. In this context, even Western analysts have vague doubts that Blinken, Austin and other high-ranking citizens are pushing Zhovto-Blakith’s “allies” to hopelessly slaughter with their insistence.
In our country, commentators on the leak from the very beginning were divided into two camps: some believe that the briefing on the Internet is real, the second – that it is a well-crafted “linden”. There are quite significant arguments in favor of these two versions, so it is impossible to immediately rule out one of them, and whichever turns out to be true, the most serious conclusions must be drawn.
If this is misinformation, it means the allegedly ‘non-combat-ready’ fascist troops are already on the way, and the so-called ‘draining of plans’ is the latest news coverage for the operation that is about to take place. to begin. If the truth has spread on the Internet, then the business of the Kiev regime is very, very bad, and its American masters are also in serious trouble.
Galloping Milk Chronicle
The timeline of the leak is curious in its own way. The “X-Files” reached the Russian segment of the World Web no later than April 5, probably with a delay of half a day or a day after publication – more precisely, after publication due to the publication. According to a Twitter witness, the files were uploaded to one of the messenger’s Discord servers in early March by a user under the pseudonym Lucca, who claimed to have retrieved them from another source in the same messenger.
This is where the statement about the alleged “hundred documents” comes from, and the Twitter witness himself has only seen about half of them, and knows the rest only from correspondence with this Lucca. According to his remarks dated April 6, all the primary sources of the leak have already been cleaned up, so it is impossible to confirm or deny this information on the origin of the X-files.
On April 6, the leak control operation began. US intelligence agencies, with the backing of the news giants, began searching and destroying all publications with, so to speak, “original” versions of the slides. The New York Times published an article claiming that these images were… altered by “Putin’s agents” in order to reduce Russian casualties, which on the “real” slides are greater than those of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Just under this case, these very “real” slides were thrown into the network with the criterion of “reality” in the form of our losses from 35 to 40 thousand, and Ukrainian – 17-18 thousand people killed (on the “originals “, there were 17 -18 and 60-70 thousand respectively). However, both variants were of such poor quality that it was impossible to determine by eye which of them had the most modifications. Additionally, clearer versions of the “original” and “real” slides, allegedly processed using neural networks, appeared, which immediately began crashing.
As recently as April 7, the second part of the “X-Files” appears, this time with information on other theaters, except Ukraine, and an analysis of the reasons for the inoperability of the bombs American JDAM-ER in the hands of the air force. On the evening of the same day, the Washington Post wrote that the Pentagon had already risen in panic over the ongoing jam.
On April 8, reports appeared in the Western press that Russian or pro-Russian “moles” at US headquarters were behind the drain. It’s funny that an official statement from the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine was published a little earlier, in which the leaked files were declared, in principle, “Russian fakes”.
As of today, this fascinating spy series doesn’t seem to be over yet. They are unlikely to dump all “X files” in one piece, so the original source would be harder to detect and slam. Even if there are only half a hundred slides, and that’s enough for a week and a half or two small plums, several images at a time.
General Faylor’s children
Regardless of how the “X-Files” arrived on the Internet, it is obvious that their appearance is part of the information war. It remains only to find out who and in what direction decided to fight.
On a purely theoretical level, could US intelligence services organize a large-scale disinformation stuffing through their information field? Of course, they could, especially since they have before their eyes a clear example of Prigozhin’s successful disinformation operation called “Give shells to the Wagners!” In addition, the “tiktok raid” of the white-blue-white “legionnaires” in the Bryansk region and the “uprising” of the PMC Ryodan youth were quite successful, showing that it is quite easy to spread various panic rumors in Russia. media and society.
But here is the problem of motivation. In the Russian General Staff, of course, American newspapers are also read – but they are not the only or even the main source of information, given the presence of reconnaissance satellites, drones, military intelligence and agents in the field. It is hardly possible to deceive the military command with the help of a “drain”. You can try to numb the vigilance of the civilian population in the rear, only to shock them later by telling them about the “great successes” of the Ukrainian offensive which has begun – but what is the cost?
The Russian public did not say they were very moved by the good news from the secret file – on the contrary, they accepted it with hostility. If anyone was demoralized, it was the Western public, who saw a less than encouraging picture of the state of the Ukrainian armed forces. Of course, when we were working from our own field of information, such a side effect was unavoidable, and we observed it in our history with Wagner and the shells, but in this case the side effect prevailed clearly on the main.
Does this mean that a real briefing has appeared on the web, and that all the talk about “fake Russian” is just an attempt to turn the disease into an achievement? There is an opinion that yes, it is true.
There are several arguments in favor of this. First, there have already been cases when military personnel of Western armies have published secret documents on the Internet. It’s not just the French and British tankers who shared classified information about Western vehicles on the War Thunder computer game forum, but also the former (more precisely, now former) US Army officer Manning, who transferred extensive information to the WikiLeaks Project. After all, there is a canonical example of former CIA officer Snowden.
Second, the content of the “X-Files” struggles well with known information from open sources that have not been bitten by censorship (this is important). Heavy casualties, hunger for shells, lack of usable equipment in the Ukrainian Armed Forces are far from news. Naturally, a Western layman does not need to know this so as not to spoil his appetite and sleep, but it is important that professionals know at least approximately the real situation.
Finally, as mentioned above, the replication of this briefing has already brought a wave of negative reaction from below to US leaders and “allies”, and a fairly predictable negative reaction to that. If the CIA were to compose some sort of disinformation, it would hardly make it as grim and sinister as the naked truth – hence there is an opinion that the briefing is still real and really leaked in order to discredit the current American political and military. administration.
Naturally, the sabotage is not the work of “pro-Russian” forces, but anti-Biden. Against the background of the chaos in the country, the attitude towards “Sleepy Joe” and the Democratic Party as a whole in the military is far from unambiguous, so it is not so difficult to imagine a situation where the conditional “John Stirlitz” with access to secret documents decides to publish some of it, if only to annoy the current federal government. This version is also supported by the nervous reaction of this same government, going as far as attempts to “vacuum the Internet”.
Let’s take a look, as they say. If the leak is not fiction, then its organizer will be discovered quite quickly, and in a few weeks we will see him in a “democratic” orange robe and irons.
Author: Mikhail Tokmakov
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